Vietnam at a Glance, released on Wednesday, said the deterioration of the employment subcomponent (of the PMI) and ongoing reduction in the new export orders subcomponent suggested that manufacturing was unlikely to pick up strongly towards the end of the year.
The new export orders subcomponent was at four-month lows after export growth in the year-to-date slowed to 8.5 per cent year-on-year from 9.6 per cent in September, and would likely slow down further in the remaining months.
The employment subindex was at a seven-month low, reflecting a cautious outlook among manufacturers.
The good news was that with oil prices still weak, domestic demand remained well supported by low inflation (headline inflation was unchanged at 0 per cent y-o-y in October while core inflation slowed further to 1.4 per cent from 1.6 per cent the previous month).
Domestic activity had also been fuelled by a steady revival in credit growth, which had risen to 10.8 per cent y-o-y as of September and would likely approach 17 per cent this year, up from 14.2 per cent in 2014, as banks accelerated lending in the month ahead.
Against the backdrop of stronger growth, wages were likely to rise, setting the stage for a revived core inflation next year.
